{"id":524,"date":"2026-10-06T08:06:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T08:06:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/?post_type=articol&#038;p=524"},"modified":"2026-10-06T08:06:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T08:06:42","slug":"econometric-analysis-of-the-macroeconomic-determinants-of-youth-unemployment-in-romania-1991-2025","status":"publish","type":"articol","link":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/articol\/econometric-analysis-of-the-macroeconomic-determinants-of-youth-unemployment-in-romania-1991-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Econometric Analysis of the Macroeconomic Determinants of Youth Unemployment in Romania (1991\u20132025)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This study examines the determinants of youth unemployment (ages 15\u201324) in Romania over the period 1991\u20132025 by analyzing the relationship between the youth unemployment rate and three macroeconomic indicators: GDP growth, inflation, and the level of investment. The analysis is based on annual data obtained from the World Bank database and employs a multiple linear regression model, including tests of statistical significance, multicollinearity, and a specification with one-year lagged variables. The empirical findings show that youth unemployment in Romania followed a cyclical pattern influenced by major economic events, including the post-communist transition, Romania&#8217;s accession to the European Union, the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. GDP growth becomes marginally significant, with the expected negative coefficient, when introduced into the model with a one-year lag, suggesting that macroeconomic effects on the youth labor market occur with a delay. The results indicate that youth unemployment is determined not only by macroeconomic conditions but also by structural factors, such as skills mismatches between young workers and employers&#8217; requirements, labor market institutions, and youth labor migration. Consequently, reducing youth unemployment requires sustained and well-targeted public policies that address both short-term economic fluctuations and long-term structural challenges.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"class_list":["post-524","articol","type-articol","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/articol\/524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/articol"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/articol"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.journals.utgjiu.ro\/JES\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}